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The FOMC held at 3.75%-4.00% in a 10-2 vote on Oct 28, with Cook and Hammack seeking a hike. The 10-year closed at 5.05% and bitcoin is testing its $79,220 low.
Bitcoin slipped under the $81,500 average cost basis of US spot ETFs after five sessions of outflows. The $80,000 bid wall stands between $84,000 and $78,000.
September payrolls printed 29,000 against 84,000 expected and October hike odds collapsed to 18% — yet Bitcoin closed the jobs session red at $84,518.
The Fed's two GENIUS Act proposals would force bank-supervised stablecoin issuers to hold 1:1 reserves, add a capital ladder and start a 60-day comment clock.
The Senate votes on CLARITY Tuesday at 2:15 p.m. ET and the Fed is 85-90% priced for a hike Wednesday. Here's what each outcome does to BTC's $76K-$82K range.
Warsh's hawkish Jackson Hole speech flipped September rate expectations in one morning. Here's the full catalyst calendar — jobs, CPI, CLARITY, FOMC — and what each scenario means for Bitcoin.
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