HBAR Ran 40% Into the $0.1007 Gate It Has Not Closed Above Since June — With $109 Million of ETF Buying Behind It

Six sessions, one direction. Hedera's HBAR bottomed at $0.07196 on September 16 and printed $0.10072 on September 22 — a 40% run that carried the token back above the $0.10 line for the first time since June 1.

The candle that did it was heavy. September 22 turned over 343.1 million HBAR, 2.7 times the average of the twenty sessions before it, and two sessions earlier the tape printed 377.7 million — the biggest HBAR day since May 30.

Further back, the weekly tape agrees. The week ending September 20 traded 1.199 billion HBAR, the heaviest week since the August 17 breakout week, and the current week has already moved 655 million with a session still to run. Volume has led price on this leg rather than the other way round.

The $0.1007 Line That Has Held Since June

The level matters because of what sits on it. $0.10072 is Tuesday's high — and $0.10081 is where the 50-week average sits, so the gate and the average are the same price to within a tenth of a cent. It is also where the 0.236 retracement of the May 30 high ($0.10990) down to the August 17 low ($0.06429) lands, at $0.09913. Tuesday closed at $0.09910 — $0.00003 under it.

Above the gate is the May shelf: $0.09981 (May 29), $0.09936 (May 31) and $0.09797 (June 1), with the 2026 high of $0.10990 printed on May 30. The 200-week average at $0.11194 sits just above that shelf, which is why the next clean target is not far above the breakout print.

Below, the structure is thinner. The 0.382 retracement is $0.09248, the 0.5 is $0.08710, and the 200-day average — reclaimed on September 19 — is $0.08159. The September 16 swing low at $0.07196 is the line that would end the sequence. Our our earlier HBAR technical read mapped the $0.073 shelf this move eventually broke.

The ETF That Has Been Buying HBAR Since It Launched

Canary's HBR fund listed on Nasdaq in late October 2025 and has spent the year absorbing HBAR through a standard brokerage wrapper. Canary's HBR fund page shows $109.1 million of net inflows since launch, about $59 million of net assets, and roughly 1.7% of the circulating supply held inside the fund.

The pace has been quiet rather than dramatic: an $818,000 day on September 10 was the biggest since August 25, against only one net-outflow day since the fund opened. That is the shape of a steady institutional bid rather than a chase, and it is one reason the $0.10 shelf is being tested with real volume this time.

Ten Million Mainnet Accounts and a Bridgeless Protocol in Closed Beta

The network side moved with it. Hedera's mainnet passed ten million accounts on September 21 — a figure that counts applications as well as people, but a genuine order-of-magnitude marker for a chain built for corporate clients rather than retail speculation.

The enterprise pitch is now about moving assets between ledgers without bridges. CLPR, the Cross-Ledger Protocol unveiled at HederaCon in May and still in closed beta, uses cryptographic state proofs and threshold signature schemes to move tokens, data and messages across public and private networks with no pooled liquidity and no intermediary validator set. In the announcement, Dr. Leemon Baird framed it this way: Hashgraph's CLPR page carries the full design.

Like internet protocols enabled global communication, CLPR creates a shared foundation that applications can leverage to move tokens and data seamlessly across networks. By eliminating the need for bridges, it offers a more secure and trusted model. — Dr. Leemon Baird, Co-Founder of Hedera

Compliance-shaped rails keep landing underneath that story: Archax runs tokenized securities with streaming USDC cash flows on Hedera, the Council added WISeKey as a strategic partner and SpaceDev as a community partner in September, and every transaction on the network settles for a flat $0.0001 — a fee model that matters to treasuries far more than to traders. Hedera's blog tracks those additions.

What $0.1007 Decides From Here

The setup is easy to track. A daily close above $0.10072 opens the May shelf and puts the 2026 high at $0.10990 in play, with the 200-week average at $0.11194 immediately beyond it. Until that close prints, the market is still inside the range it has been building since June.

The other side of the ledger is a close back under $0.09248 — the 0.382 retracement, with the September 21 close at $0.09336 just above it. That would say the six-session run was liquidity taken into a supply zone, and would put $0.08710 and then the 200-day average at $0.08159 back in charge.

Either way, the week has already done something rare for a $4.37 billion network token with a regulated ETF wrapper: it printed its best six sessions in months on the heaviest volume since May. HBAR traded at $0.09967 at the time of writing — 34.3% higher over seven days, 25.7% over thirty, ranked #30 by market capitalisation, and still 82.5% below the $0.5692 all-time high set in September 2021. HBAR on CoinGecko carries the live numbers and HBAR/USDT on Binance has the order book.